The Indian stock market ended marginally higher on July 1, 2025, in a range-bound and choppy session, as investors treaded cautiously ahead of the upcoming US trade tariff deadlines. Despite intraday volatility and mixed global cues, the Sensex and Nifty closed flat, supported by selective buying in PSU banks and defence stocks, even as FIIs turned net sellers.
Market PerformanceBSE Sensex: Gained 90.51 points (+0.11%) to close at 83,696.97
Intraday Range: 83,482.13 – 83,807.00
NSE Nifty 50: Rose 24.75 points (+0.10%) to close at 25,541.80
Intraday Range: 25,523.00 – 25,583.00
Market Breadth (BSE):
Advances: ~1,900 | Declines: ~2,000 | Unchanged: ~150
Upper Circuit: ~190 | Lower Circuit: ~140
India VIX: Fell 1.61% to 12.38, indicating reduced market uncertainty
Key DriversGeopolitical Stability:The ongoing US-brokered Israel-Iran ceasefire kept crude oil prices stable (~$84/barrel), which helped anchor sentiment.
Global Market Cues:
Asian markets traded firm: Nikkei 225 +0.7%, Kospi +0.4%
US markets remained flat; hopes for a US-India trade agreement ahead of the July 9 tariff deadline boosted optimism, but uncertainty lingered.
Institutional Flows:
FIIs: Net sellers at ₹1,970 crore
DIIs: Net buyers at ₹725 crore, helping cushion the market
Rupee Movement:
The rupee appreciated by 25 paise to close at ₹85.51/USD, supported by a weaker dollar (DXY at 96.81) and positive domestic equity flows
Domestic Macros:
GST collections remained robust at ₹2.01 lakh crore in May 2025 (+16.4% YoY)
Above-normal monsoon coverage reinforced consumption outlook and economic optimism
Sectoral TrendsTop Gainers:
PSU Banks: +2% (SBI, Bank of Baroda among top movers)
Defence Stocks: Continued to rally on government policy support and recent acquisition news
Underperformers:
Nifty Media: -0.5%
Midcap & Smallcap Indices: Snapped their 7-day winning streak
Nifty Midcap 100: -0.2% | Nifty Smallcap 100: -0.4%
Market Sentiment:
The market moved sideways, with GIFT Nifty futures around 25,600, indicating a neutral-to-positive bias for the next session
Corporate DevelopmentsHDB Financial Services:
₹12,500 crore IPO closed with strong demand; listing scheduled for July 2, buoying financial sector sentiment
Kalpataru Projects:
Rose 4% after bagging ₹989 crore in overseas orders
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders:
Continued to rise post-₹452 crore acquisition in Colombo Dockyard PLC
HCL Technologies:
Announced a multi-year AI partnership with OpenAI, enhancing investor interest in tech stocks
Apollo Hospitals:
Unveiled a demerger plan for its digital health and pharmacy businesses, drawing market attention
Market OutlookNifty Levels:
Support: 25,375 – 25,300
Resistance: 25,600 – 25,670
A breakout above 25,670 could open the path to 26,000
Sensex Levels:
Support: 83,200 – 83,000
Resistance: 83,900 – 84,100
Volatility Expectations:
The low VIX implies continued stability, but US tariff talks and early Q1 FY26 earnings reports could introduce intraday volatility
Upcoming Triggers:
US Core PCE inflation data
India’s Q1 FY26 corporate earnings
July 9 US-India trade decision
Oil price movements and monsoon progress
ConclusionOn July 1, 2025, the Indian stock market ended flat, with the Sensex at 83,696.97 (+0.11%) and the Nifty at 25,541.80 (+0.10%). Gains in PSU banks and defence stocks offset FII selling and profit booking in mid- and small-caps. With the July 9 tariff deadline and earnings season approaching, investors should monitor Nifty’s 25,600 resistance, focus on selective large-caps, and stay alert to global policy signals.
Disclaimer: Investments in securities are subject to market risks. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before investing.